Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 45.5% and 35% implied probability. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 29–31°C under seasonal solar heating and continental air masses, with recent ensemble runs supporting modest warming without strong heat advection or blocking patterns. Uncertainties remain from possible shifts in steering winds or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from AEMET will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日馬德裏氣溫最高？
6月11日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 46%
32°C 34%
31°C 11%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-11
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
11%
32°C
34%
33°C
46%
34°C
10%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 34%
31°C 11%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-11
28°C或以下
$359 交易量
<1%
29°C
$314 交易量
<1%
30°C
$540 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,110 交易量
11%
32°C
$1,047 交易量
34%
33°C
$989 交易量
46%
34°C
$881 交易量
10%
35°C
$573 交易量
<1%
36°C
$2,763 交易量
2%
37°C
$192 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 45.5% and 35% implied probability. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 29–31°C under seasonal solar heating and continental air masses, with recent ensemble runs supporting modest warming without strong heat advection or blocking patterns. Uncertainties remain from possible shifts in steering winds or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from AEMET will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,864結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 45.5% and 35% implied probability. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 29–31°C under seasonal solar heating and continental air masses, with recent ensemble runs supporting modest warming without strong heat advection or blocking patterns. Uncertainties remain from possible shifts in steering winds or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from AEMET will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,864結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 45.5% and 35% implied probability. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 29–31°C under seasonal solar heating and continental air masses, with recent ensemble runs supporting modest warming without strong heat advection or blocking patterns. Uncertainties remain from possible shifts in steering winds or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from AEMET will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions