Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical weather models indicated a peak temperature in the low 80s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 9, driven by typical early-summer high pressure and southerly flow with minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligned closely with climatological norms for early June at LaGuardia Airport, where the market resolution is based, producing the overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for the 80-81°F bracket. Minor deviations in station-specific readings or brief model adjustments could have shifted the outcome, though no significant forecast divergence emerged in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月9日紐約市的最高溫度?
80-81°F 99.8%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,557 交易量
$127,557 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 99.8%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,557 交易量
$127,557 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical weather models indicated a peak temperature in the low 80s Fahrenheit for New York City on June 9, driven by typical early-summer high pressure and southerly flow with minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligned closely with climatological norms for early June at LaGuardia Airport, where the market resolution is based, producing the overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for the 80-81°F bracket. Minor deviations in station-specific readings or brief model adjustments could have shifted the outcome, though no significant forecast divergence emerged in the final 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions