Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 交易量
$16,371 交易量
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 交易量
$16,371 交易量
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions