Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F lows in Miami on June 14 reflects National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance showing overnight temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological normal of 77–79°F. Persistent subtropical moisture and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies limit further drops. Recent heat-risk advisories and observations from June 12–13, with minima around 81°F, reinforce expectations of stable warmth absent any atypical cold-front intrusion or enhanced clear-sky cooling. The narrow spread between the top two bins captures minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban heat-island effects, with lower-probability cooler outcomes requiring uncommon atmospheric conditions not indicated in current forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日邁阿密的最低溫度?
76-77°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
31%
80-81華氏度
39%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
31%
80-81華氏度
39%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F lows in Miami on June 14 reflects National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance showing overnight temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological normal of 77–79°F. Persistent subtropical moisture and high humidity suppress radiative cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies limit further drops. Recent heat-risk advisories and observations from June 12–13, with minima around 81°F, reinforce expectations of stable warmth absent any atypical cold-front intrusion or enhanced clear-sky cooling. The narrow spread between the top two bins captures minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban heat-island effects, with lower-probability cooler outcomes requiring uncommon atmospheric conditions not indicated in current forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions