A dominant warm air mass over southern Ontario produced the near-certain market consensus on 31°C as Toronto Pearson International Airport’s official daily maximum on June 11. Ensemble forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and other models consistently projected afternoon peaks in the low 30s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with only limited shower activity that did not suppress the high. Post-event station observations aligned precisely with the 31°C threshold rather than adjacent values, consistent with early-summer warm-spell climatology for the region. Trader positioning tightened once preliminary data confirmed the reading. Only an unexpected official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日多倫多氣溫最高?
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$55,802 交易量
$55,802 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$55,802 交易量
$55,802 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
A dominant warm air mass over southern Ontario produced the near-certain market consensus on 31°C as Toronto Pearson International Airport’s official daily maximum on June 11. Ensemble forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and other models consistently projected afternoon peaks in the low 30s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with only limited shower activity that did not suppress the high. Post-event station observations aligned precisely with the 31°C threshold rather than adjacent values, consistent with early-summer warm-spell climatology for the region. Trader positioning tightened once preliminary data confirmed the reading. Only an unexpected official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions