Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a highest temperature near 21°C on June 15 as the primary driver of trader positioning, with probabilities tightly clustered between 20–22°C reflecting lingering forecast spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence via lake breeze, combined with potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers from mid-month instability, caps daytime maxima despite seasonal warming trends. Historical June highs average around 24°C, but current guidance suggests slightly cooler conditions tied to broader regional patterns. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of the 24-hour observation window will likely refine these odds as steering flows and boundary-layer details become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
6月15日多倫多氣溫最高？
21°C 25%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
22%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C或以上
3%
21°C 25%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
15°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
16°C
$45 交易量
<1%
17°C
$40 交易量
1%
18°C
$25 交易量
2%
19°C
$52 交易量
7%
20°C
$63 交易量
18%
21°C
$113 交易量
25%
22°C
$95 交易量
22%
23°C
$69 交易量
9%
24°C
$208 交易量
6%
25°C或以上
$577 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a highest temperature near 21°C on June 15 as the primary driver of trader positioning, with probabilities tightly clustered between 20–22°C reflecting lingering forecast spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence via lake breeze, combined with potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers from mid-month instability, caps daytime maxima despite seasonal warming trends. Historical June highs average around 24°C, but current guidance suggests slightly cooler conditions tied to broader regional patterns. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of the 24-hour observation window will likely refine these odds as steering flows and boundary-layer details become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$930結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a highest temperature near 21°C on June 15 as the primary driver of trader positioning, with probabilities tightly clustered between 20–22°C reflecting lingering forecast spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence via lake breeze, combined with potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers from mid-month instability, caps daytime maxima despite seasonal warming trends. Historical June highs average around 24°C, but current guidance suggests slightly cooler conditions tied to broader regional patterns. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of the 24-hour observation window will likely refine these odds as steering flows and boundary-layer details become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$930結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent short-range model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a highest temperature near 21°C on June 15 as the primary driver of trader positioning, with probabilities tightly clustered between 20–22°C reflecting lingering forecast spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence via lake breeze, combined with potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers from mid-month instability, caps daytime maxima despite seasonal warming trends. Historical June highs average around 24°C, but current guidance suggests slightly cooler conditions tied to broader regional patterns. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of the 24-hour observation window will likely refine these odds as steering flows and boundary-layer details become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions