Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日紐約市的最高溫度？
6月15日紐約市的最高溫度？
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
69°F or below
$15 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$10 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$12 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$10 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$111 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$250 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$155 交易量
24%
82-83°F
$39 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$17 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$27 交易量
1%
88°F或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$539結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$539結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance for June 15 points to mainly sunny skies and northwest winds of 10–20 mph across the New York metro area, supporting a daytime high near 79 °F at Central Park, the official measurement site. This aligns with the market’s strongest outcome at 78–79 °F (48.5 % implied probability) and the secondary 80–81 °F bin (21 %). Mid-June climatology places the average high near 80 °F, but a cooler post-frontal airmass and limited mixing have trimmed the upper end of guidance. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, keeping probabilities for 82 °F or higher below 20 % combined while rendering sub-76 °F outcomes unlikely given current radiative conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final adjustment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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