Recent short-range model guidance for Karachi on June 15 points to a maximum near 33–34 °C under typical pre-monsoon conditions, with ensemble spreads extending the plausible range to 32.9–36.7 °C and concentrating trader probability on the 34 °C and 35 °C bins. The moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze, combined with elevated humidity and light winds, limits afternoon heating and reduces the likelihood of extremes above 37 °C. Historical June climatology shows daily highs averaging 34–36 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated forecast runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, directly affecting resolution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
35°C 40%
34°C 34%
33°C 14%
36°C 13%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
14%
34°C
34%
35°C
40%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 34%
33°C 14%
36°C 13%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
14%
34°C
34%
35°C
40%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model guidance for Karachi on June 15 points to a maximum near 33–34 °C under typical pre-monsoon conditions, with ensemble spreads extending the plausible range to 32.9–36.7 °C and concentrating trader probability on the 34 °C and 35 °C bins. The moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze, combined with elevated humidity and light winds, limits afternoon heating and reduces the likelihood of extremes above 37 °C. Historical June climatology shows daily highs averaging 34–36 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated forecast runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, directly affecting resolution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions