Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds and no significant warm-air advection. This aligns with early-winter climatology, where long-term June highs average near 15°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed daytime warming due to stable high pressure and cooler overnight lows around 7°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with 13–15°C outcomes capturing over 80% of implied probability as updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services reinforces limited diurnal temperature rise ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 36%
13°C 27%
15°C 23%
12°C 11.1%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 36%
13°C 27%
15°C 23%
12°C 11.1%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds and no significant warm-air advection. This aligns with early-winter climatology, where long-term June highs average near 15°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed daytime warming due to stable high pressure and cooler overnight lows around 7°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with 13–15°C outcomes capturing over 80% of implied probability as updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services reinforces limited diurnal temperature rise ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions