Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a maximum near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by southwesterly flow off the Río de la Plata and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. June climatology places average highs around 15°C, but an approaching cold front and stronger onshore winds are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. The tight 47–40% split between 11°C and 10°C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast timing of frontal passage and local urban heat effects, with official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional determining the exact daily high. Updated model runs this morning will likely clarify whether marginal warming pushes the peak above or below the 10.5°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
11°C 47%
10°C 40%
9°C 9%
12°C 7.0%
$19,308 交易量
$19,308 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
9%
10°C
40%
11°C
47%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
11°C 47%
10°C 40%
9°C 9%
12°C 7.0%
$19,308 交易量
$19,308 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
9%
10°C
40%
11°C
47%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a maximum near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by southwesterly flow off the Río de la Plata and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. June climatology places average highs around 15°C, but an approaching cold front and stronger onshore winds are suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms. The tight 47–40% split between 11°C and 10°C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast timing of frontal passage and local urban heat effects, with official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional determining the exact daily high. Updated model runs this morning will likely clarify whether marginal warming pushes the peak above or below the 10.5°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions