Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
73°F or below
$0 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$144 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$89 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$112 交易量
7%
80-81°F
$77 交易量
11%
82-83°F
$72 交易量
25%
84-85°F
$119 交易量
19%
86-87°F
$148 交易量
13%
88-89°F
$240 交易量
8%
90-91°F
$342 交易量
2%
92°F or higher
$1,044 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,941結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,941結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions