Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal day in Denver on June 15, with ensemble forecasts clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s amid a passing trough and increased cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This sits below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F for the date, driven by northerly flow and modest moisture that enhances the diurnal range modestly while suppressing maximum temperatures. Close market pricing between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing of any clearing or downslope warming, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical June variability and the proximity to resolution further anchor trader consensus around these central outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 9%
82-83°F 7.5%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 9%
82-83°F 7.5%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal day in Denver on June 15, with ensemble forecasts clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s amid a passing trough and increased cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This sits below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F for the date, driven by northerly flow and modest moisture that enhances the diurnal range modestly while suppressing maximum temperatures. Close market pricing between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing of any clearing or downslope warming, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical June variability and the proximity to resolution further anchor trader consensus around these central outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions