Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
6月14日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
最新
$17,881 交易量
最新
$17,881 交易量
2026-06-14
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99華氏度
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
華氏102度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
最新
$17,881 交易量
最新
$17,881 交易量
2026-06-14
83°F或以下
$770 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,932 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$2,839 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$3,105 交易量
12%
90-91°F
$2,803 交易量
41%
92-93°F
$1,850 交易量
44%
94-95°F
$1,333 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$1,543 交易量
2%
98-99華氏度
$937 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$812 交易量
<1%
華氏102度或更高
$431 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$17,881結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,881結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions