Trader consensus on San Francisco's June 15 high temperature centers on 70–73 °F because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that will cap daytime warming along the immediate coast. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs show only modest differences in wind speed and cloud cover timing, which can shift the peak reading by 1–2 °F and explain the near-even implied probabilities between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins. Historical mid-June climatology for the city supports this range, while any unexpected clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the 74–75 °F tier. Updated NWS forecasts and 00Z model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山6月15日的最高溫度？
舊金山6月15日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
$297 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$57 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$308 交易量
16%
70-71°F
$167 交易量
30%
72-73°F
$238 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$341 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$131 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$493 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$454 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$70 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$64 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on San Francisco's June 15 high temperature centers on 70–73 °F because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that will cap daytime warming along the immediate coast. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs show only modest differences in wind speed and cloud cover timing, which can shift the peak reading by 1–2 °F and explain the near-even implied probabilities between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins. Historical mid-June climatology for the city supports this range, while any unexpected clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the 74–75 °F tier. Updated NWS forecasts and 00Z model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on San Francisco's June 15 high temperature centers on 70–73 °F because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that will cap daytime warming along the immediate coast. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs show only modest differences in wind speed and cloud cover timing, which can shift the peak reading by 1–2 °F and explain the near-even implied probabilities between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins. Historical mid-June climatology for the city supports this range, while any unexpected clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the 74–75 °F tier. Updated NWS forecasts and 00Z model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETTrader consensus on San Francisco's June 15 high temperature centers on 70–73 °F because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that will cap daytime warming along the immediate coast. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs show only modest differences in wind speed and cloud cover timing, which can shift the peak reading by 1–2 °F and explain the near-even implied probabilities between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins. Historical mid-June climatology for the city supports this range, while any unexpected clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the 74–75 °F tier. Updated NWS forecasts and 00Z model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions