Trader consensus clusters around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s June 14 high, reflecting model agreement on a typical early-summer pattern moderated by the Pacific marine layer. Persistent onshore flow and low clouds or fog are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings near or slightly above the long-term June average of 66–70°F. Recent easing of an interior heat episode has reinforced cooler marine air advection, while forecast guidance shows only modest warming if the marine layer thins by afternoon. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include exact fog-burn-off timing, wind strength, and any micro-climate differences across official reporting sites; these uncertainties keep the two closest outcomes nearly even in probability. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6%
最新
$12,914 交易量
最新
$12,914 交易量
2026-06-14
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6%
最新
$12,914 交易量
最新
$12,914 交易量
2026-06-14
67°F or below
$1,019 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$764 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$555 交易量
29%
72-73°F
$860 交易量
37%
74-75°F
$1,226 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$1,322 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$2,643 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$2,151 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$1,404 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$494 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$475 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s June 14 high, reflecting model agreement on a typical early-summer pattern moderated by the Pacific marine layer. Persistent onshore flow and low clouds or fog are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings near or slightly above the long-term June average of 66–70°F. Recent easing of an interior heat episode has reinforced cooler marine air advection, while forecast guidance shows only modest warming if the marine layer thins by afternoon. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include exact fog-burn-off timing, wind strength, and any micro-climate differences across official reporting sites; these uncertainties keep the two closest outcomes nearly even in probability. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
交易量
$12,914結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s June 14 high, reflecting model agreement on a typical early-summer pattern moderated by the Pacific marine layer. Persistent onshore flow and low clouds or fog are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings near or slightly above the long-term June average of 66–70°F. Recent easing of an interior heat episode has reinforced cooler marine air advection, while forecast guidance shows only modest warming if the marine layer thins by afternoon. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include exact fog-burn-off timing, wind strength, and any micro-climate differences across official reporting sites; these uncertainties keep the two closest outcomes nearly even in probability. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,914結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETTrader consensus clusters around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s June 14 high, reflecting model agreement on a typical early-summer pattern moderated by the Pacific marine layer. Persistent onshore flow and low clouds or fog are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings near or slightly above the long-term June average of 66–70°F. Recent easing of an interior heat episode has reinforced cooler marine air advection, while forecast guidance shows only modest warming if the marine layer thins by afternoon. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include exact fog-burn-off timing, wind strength, and any micro-climate differences across official reporting sites; these uncertainties keep the two closest outcomes nearly even in probability. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions