Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
$202 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$152 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$127 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$396 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$268 交易量
16%
74-75°F
$323 交易量
26%
76-77°F
$168 交易量
31%
78-79°F
$188 交易量
17%
80-81°F
$160 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$277 交易量
4%
84°F or higher
$532 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,561結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,561結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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