Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a high near 70–73°F in Chicago today, driven by moderating southwesterly flow behind a weak frontal passage, increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and dew points in the upper 50s curbing further warming. Ensemble spreads in guidance show modest uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any light showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Historical June climatology places the daily normal high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a below-average setup that traders have incorporated into the narrow probability distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月14日的最高溫度?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 11%
$24,109 交易量
$24,109 交易量
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
11%
76-77華氏度
1%
78°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 11%
$24,109 交易量
$24,109 交易量
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
11%
76-77華氏度
1%
78°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a high near 70–73°F in Chicago today, driven by moderating southwesterly flow behind a weak frontal passage, increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and dew points in the upper 50s curbing further warming. Ensemble spreads in guidance show modest uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any light showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Historical June climatology places the daily normal high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a below-average setup that traders have incorporated into the narrow probability distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions