Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate a peak temperature near 86°F for Houston on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for 86-87°F and 28.5% for 84-85°F. Primary drivers include moderate Gulf moisture, limited afternoon convection, and a weak steering pattern that favors typical early-June insolation without strong suppression or enhancement. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts create the tight clustering around these bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze timing could easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging near 90°F, yet current conditions support a slightly cooler outcome, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 88°F below 20% combined.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日休斯敦的最高溫度？
6月15日休斯敦的最高溫度？
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
16%
90-91華氏度
6%
92-93°F
2%
華氏94度或以上
1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
華氏75度或以下
$29 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$25 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$730 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$272 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$394 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$234 交易量
29%
86-87°F
$596 交易量
32%
88-89°F
$767 交易量
16%
90-91華氏度
$1,088 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$2,267 交易量
2%
華氏94度或以上
$1,015 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate a peak temperature near 86°F for Houston on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for 86-87°F and 28.5% for 84-85°F. Primary drivers include moderate Gulf moisture, limited afternoon convection, and a weak steering pattern that favors typical early-June insolation without strong suppression or enhancement. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts create the tight clustering around these bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze timing could easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging near 90°F, yet current conditions support a slightly cooler outcome, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 88°F below 20% combined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$7,351結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate a peak temperature near 86°F for Houston on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for 86-87°F and 28.5% for 84-85°F. Primary drivers include moderate Gulf moisture, limited afternoon convection, and a weak steering pattern that favors typical early-June insolation without strong suppression or enhancement. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts create the tight clustering around these bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze timing could easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging near 90°F, yet current conditions support a slightly cooler outcome, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 88°F below 20% combined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,351結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate a peak temperature near 86°F for Houston on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for 86-87°F and 28.5% for 84-85°F. Primary drivers include moderate Gulf moisture, limited afternoon convection, and a weak steering pattern that favors typical early-June insolation without strong suppression or enhancement. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts create the tight clustering around these bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze timing could easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging near 90°F, yet current conditions support a slightly cooler outcome, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 88°F below 20% combined.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions