Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in Central Park near 86–88°F on June 14 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping the market’s leading 88–89°F bin (52.5% implied probability) ahead of 86–87°F (26.5%). Recent stabilization after early-June heat has reduced extreme-heat odds while limiting strong cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-80s. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud build-up and boundary-layer mixing, both of which will be clarified by the afternoon NWS update and real-time METAR observations. Historical June normals near 79°F provide context for the current above-average but not record-challenging setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
6月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
88-89°F 53%
86-87°F 27%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 2.8%
最新
$24,811 交易量
最新
$24,811 交易量
2026-06-14
華氏83度或以下
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
53%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100-101度
<1%
華氏102度或以上
<1%
88-89°F 53%
86-87°F 27%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 2.8%
最新
$24,811 交易量
最新
$24,811 交易量
2026-06-14
華氏83度或以下
$2,363 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$2,792 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$2,674 交易量
27%
88-89°F
$2,093 交易量
53%
90-91°F
$5,831 交易量
17%
92-93°F
$3,709 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$3,581 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$767 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$901 交易量
<1%
華氏100-101度
$432 交易量
<1%
華氏102度或以上
$401 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in Central Park near 86–88°F on June 14 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping the market’s leading 88–89°F bin (52.5% implied probability) ahead of 86–87°F (26.5%). Recent stabilization after early-June heat has reduced extreme-heat odds while limiting strong cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-80s. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud build-up and boundary-layer mixing, both of which will be clarified by the afternoon NWS update and real-time METAR observations. Historical June normals near 79°F provide context for the current above-average but not record-challenging setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$24,811結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in Central Park near 86–88°F on June 14 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping the market’s leading 88–89°F bin (52.5% implied probability) ahead of 86–87°F (26.5%). Recent stabilization after early-June heat has reduced extreme-heat odds while limiting strong cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-80s. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud build-up and boundary-layer mixing, both of which will be clarified by the afternoon NWS update and real-time METAR observations. Historical June normals near 79°F provide context for the current above-average but not record-challenging setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,811結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in Central Park near 86–88°F on June 14 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping the market’s leading 88–89°F bin (52.5% implied probability) ahead of 86–87°F (26.5%). Recent stabilization after early-June heat has reduced extreme-heat odds while limiting strong cold-air advection that could drop readings into the mid-80s. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any diurnal cloud build-up and boundary-layer mixing, both of which will be clarified by the afternoon NWS update and real-time METAR observations. Historical June normals near 79°F provide context for the current above-average but not record-challenging setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions