**Official observations from the primary reference station (LaGuardia/KLGA) placed the June 11, 2026, minimum temperature squarely in the 74–75 °F range, producing the market’s 97.6 % consensus on that bin.** A multi-day heat wave featuring southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance issued in the final 24–48 hours. Historical June overnight lows in NYC average near 63 °F, so this outcome represented a strong positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station discrepancy could realistically shift resolution outside 74–75 °F, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given the stability of climatological reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日紐約市的最低溫度？
6月11日紐約市的最低溫度？
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$40,943 交易量
$40,943 交易量
2026-06-11
華氏63度或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$40,943 交易量
$40,943 交易量
2026-06-11
華氏63度或以下
$1,053 交易量
否
64-65°F
$6,081 交易量
否
66-67°F
$2,574 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,474 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,012 交易量
否
72-73°F
$5,017 交易量
否
74-75°F
$6,666 交易量
是
76-77°F
$1,756 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,126 交易量
否
80-81°F
$6,192 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$2,992 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the primary reference station (LaGuardia/KLGA) placed the June 11, 2026, minimum temperature squarely in the 74–75 °F range, producing the market’s 97.6 % consensus on that bin.** A multi-day heat wave featuring southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance issued in the final 24–48 hours. Historical June overnight lows in NYC average near 63 °F, so this outcome represented a strong positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station discrepancy could realistically shift resolution outside 74–75 °F, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given the stability of climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 10:31 PM ET
交易量
$40,943結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the primary reference station (LaGuardia/KLGA) placed the June 11, 2026, minimum temperature squarely in the 74–75 °F range, producing the market’s 97.6 % consensus on that bin.** A multi-day heat wave featuring southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance issued in the final 24–48 hours. Historical June overnight lows in NYC average near 63 °F, so this outcome represented a strong positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station discrepancy could realistically shift resolution outside 74–75 °F, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given the stability of climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,943結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from the primary reference station (LaGuardia/KLGA) placed the June 11, 2026, minimum temperature squarely in the 74–75 °F range, producing the market’s 97.6 % consensus on that bin.** A multi-day heat wave featuring southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance issued in the final 24–48 hours. Historical June overnight lows in NYC average near 63 °F, so this outcome represented a strong positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station discrepancy could realistically shift resolution outside 74–75 °F, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given the stability of climatological reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions