Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS points to limited overnight radiative cooling in New York City amid southerly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the minimum temperature near 72–77°F rather than dropping toward seasonal normals around 67°F. Current observations show dew points near 70°F sustaining humidity that reduces heat loss after sunset, while a weak pressure gradient limits mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering around the 72–77°F bins, with small probability mass on cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and Central Park observations for any shifts in the low-level wind or cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
6月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 23%
76-77°F 12.1%
最新
$12,137 交易量
最新
$12,137 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65華氏度
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或以上
<1%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 23%
76-77°F 12.1%
最新
$12,137 交易量
最新
$12,137 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
$1,792 交易量
<1%
64-65華氏度
$1,767 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$1,973 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$784 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$169 交易量
10%
72-73°F
$224 交易量
25%
74-75°F
$874 交易量
26%
76-77°F
$1,779 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$1,186 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$976 交易量
<1%
82°F或以上
$775 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS points to limited overnight radiative cooling in New York City amid southerly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the minimum temperature near 72–77°F rather than dropping toward seasonal normals around 67°F. Current observations show dew points near 70°F sustaining humidity that reduces heat loss after sunset, while a weak pressure gradient limits mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering around the 72–77°F bins, with small probability mass on cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and Central Park observations for any shifts in the low-level wind or cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$12,137結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS points to limited overnight radiative cooling in New York City amid southerly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the minimum temperature near 72–77°F rather than dropping toward seasonal normals around 67°F. Current observations show dew points near 70°F sustaining humidity that reduces heat loss after sunset, while a weak pressure gradient limits mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering around the 72–77°F bins, with small probability mass on cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and Central Park observations for any shifts in the low-level wind or cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,137結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETRecent model consensus from NOAA and NWS points to limited overnight radiative cooling in New York City amid southerly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the minimum temperature near 72–77°F rather than dropping toward seasonal normals around 67°F. Current observations show dew points near 70°F sustaining humidity that reduces heat loss after sunset, while a weak pressure gradient limits mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering around the 72–77°F bins, with small probability mass on cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and Central Park observations for any shifts in the low-level wind or cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions