Ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate daytime maxima near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou on June 11, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and the city's typical early-summer subtropical pattern of high humidity, moderate cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit extreme heating. June climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, with steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon and regional sea-surface temperatures keeping variability low and suppressing both stronger warming and significant cooling. Recent model consensus has remained stable without notable shifts from updated runs or unexpected atmospheric developments, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C band while assigning minimal probability to outliers beyond 34 °C or below 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
32°C 59%
31°C 25.4%
33°C 17%
34°C 3.0%
$52,215 交易量
$52,215 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 25.4%
33°C 17%
34°C 3.0%
$52,215 交易量
$52,215 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate daytime maxima near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou on June 11, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and the city's typical early-summer subtropical pattern of high humidity, moderate cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit extreme heating. June climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, with steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon and regional sea-surface temperatures keeping variability low and suppressing both stronger warming and significant cooling. Recent model consensus has remained stable without notable shifts from updated runs or unexpected atmospheric developments, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C band while assigning minimal probability to outliers beyond 34 °C or below 31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions