Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日廣州最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,585 交易量
$84,585 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,585 交易量
$84,585 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 12 due to consistent outputs from operational forecast models and official observations confirming a peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This consensus reflects verified meteorological data, including surface observations and ensemble runs showing maximum values aligning precisely at that threshold amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds. Historical June climatology for the region supports such readings as common, with minimal day-to-day variability once the diurnal cycle is accounted for. Only an unexpected late-day surge from convective activity or a measurement revision at the primary station could alter the outcome, though current model agreement leaves little room for those shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions