Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Shanghai's June 13 overnight low will likely fall in the 20–24°C range amid the East Asian monsoon and plum rain (Meiyu) season, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered precipitation that moderates diurnal temperature swings. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting peak daytime heating, keeping the minimum temperature clustered near the long-term early-June average of roughly 21–23°C. With market-implied odds tightly bunched between 22°C and 24°C, traders appear focused on subtle differences in model guidance for rainfall timing and wind patterns that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies on the 12th will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日上海最低溫度?
23°C 27%
22°C 25%
18°C 17%
21°C 16%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
16%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
12%
25°C或以上
16%
23°C 27%
22°C 25%
18°C 17%
21°C 16%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
16%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
12%
25°C或以上
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Shanghai's June 13 overnight low will likely fall in the 20–24°C range amid the East Asian monsoon and plum rain (Meiyu) season, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered precipitation that moderates diurnal temperature swings. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting peak daytime heating, keeping the minimum temperature clustered near the long-term early-June average of roughly 21–23°C. With market-implied odds tightly bunched between 22°C and 24°C, traders appear focused on subtle differences in model guidance for rainfall timing and wind patterns that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies on the 12th will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions