Current short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Paris on June 13, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should produce a minimum near 13–14 °C. This aligns with typical early-June climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, where surface temperatures drop steadily after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the decline. The near-even market split among 13 °C, 14 °C, and 15 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in the precise timing of the low and minor variations across local observing stations, with new model runs and updated guidance expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日巴黎最低溫度?
15°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 13%
9°C或以下
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
15°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 13%
9°C或以下
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Paris on June 13, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should produce a minimum near 13–14 °C. This aligns with typical early-June climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, where surface temperatures drop steadily after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the decline. The near-even market split among 13 °C, 14 °C, and 15 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in the precise timing of the low and minor variations across local observing stations, with new model runs and updated guidance expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions