Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日巴黎最低溫度?
10°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 交易量
$13,262 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
10°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 交易量
$13,262 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions