High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日巴黎最低溫度？
6月15日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
14°C 7%
11°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
45%
13°C
36%
14°C
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
14°C 7%
11°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
$17 交易量
2%
11°C
$937 交易量
6%
12°C
$131 交易量
45%
13°C
$88 交易量
36%
14°C
$26 交易量
7%
15°C
$42 交易量
4%
16°C
$291 交易量
1%
17°C
$556 交易量
1%
18°C
$500 交易量
1%
19°C
$365 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$260 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$3,211結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,211結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETHigh-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions