Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration call for a daytime high of 23–26°C in Taipei on June 11 under overcast skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's strong preference for 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating and surface warming compared with typical June climatology, when highs often reach 30°C or higher. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions persisting through the peak heating hours, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 26°C. Traders are incorporating the latest observational data and short-range guidance showing suppressed maxima, with resolution based on the official recording at Taipei Songshan Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日臺北氣溫最高?
24°C 63.9%
25°C 20%
26°C 7%
27°C 5.0%
$39,055 交易量
$39,055 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
64%
25°C
27%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
24°C 63.9%
25°C 20%
26°C 7%
27°C 5.0%
$39,055 交易量
$39,055 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
64%
25°C
27%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration call for a daytime high of 23–26°C in Taipei on June 11 under overcast skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's strong preference for 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating and surface warming compared with typical June climatology, when highs often reach 30°C or higher. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions persisting through the peak heating hours, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 26°C. Traders are incorporating the latest observational data and short-range guidance showing suppressed maxima, with resolution based on the official recording at Taipei Songshan Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions