Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Panama’s ETESA and global ensembles drive the tight 33–34°C split at 72% combined implied probability, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating tomorrow. Panama City’s coastal tropical setting features high humidity and frequent convective activity tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, where variable cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can cap or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C relative to the early-June climatological mean near 30–31°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show limited organized rainfall, supporting the slight edge for 34°C, while any late-day shower development could favor 33°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings recorded by local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
32°C 15%
35°C 5.8%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
15%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
32°C 15%
35°C 5.8%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
15%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Panama’s ETESA and global ensembles drive the tight 33–34°C split at 72% combined implied probability, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating tomorrow. Panama City’s coastal tropical setting features high humidity and frequent convective activity tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, where variable cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can cap or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C relative to the early-June climatological mean near 30–31°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show limited organized rainfall, supporting the slight edge for 34°C, while any late-day shower development could favor 33°C. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings recorded by local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions