Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on June 11 under cloudy skies with only a 10-20% chance of light showers, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Typical early-June climatology shows daily maxima around 25-26°C, but persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and promoting modest evaporative cooling. Model guidance and observational trends support this narrow range, with any brief clearing potentially pushing readings toward the higher end while increased moisture or thicker clouds favor the lower. Updated JMA briefings and real-time observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on June 11 under cloudy skies with only a 10-20% chance of light showers, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Typical early-June climatology shows daily maxima around 25-26°C, but persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and promoting modest evaporative cooling. Model guidance and observational trends support this narrow range, with any brief clearing potentially pushing readings toward the higher end while increased moisture or thicker clouds favor the lower. Updated JMA briefings and real-time observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions