Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's daily minimum temperature on June 13 centers on subtle differences in regional pressure patterns and cloud cover as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Leading market-implied odds cluster around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, with historical June lows typically ranging 15–20°C. Recent model runs highlight how a passing shortwave trough or variable wind direction could shift the low by 1–2°C, while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation add further variability; traders are weighting the tight consensus among deterministic and ensemble forecasts as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日首爾最低溫度?
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C或以上 19%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C
12%
21°C或以上
19%
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C或以上 19%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C
12%
21°C或以上
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's daily minimum temperature on June 13 centers on subtle differences in regional pressure patterns and cloud cover as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Leading market-implied odds cluster around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, with historical June lows typically ranging 15–20°C. Recent model runs highlight how a passing shortwave trough or variable wind direction could shift the low by 1–2°C, while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation add further variability; traders are weighting the tight consensus among deterministic and ensemble forecasts as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions