Current model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Cape Town on June 13, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. A series of weak cold fronts tracking across the Western Cape in early June has maintained typical winter maritime conditions, with cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover preventing significant warming or sharp drops. The ocean's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly flow further stabilize daytime highs near the long-term June average of 16–17°C, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Minor model spread on front timing and cloud thickness explains the tight distribution across 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C probabilities, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of anomalous ridging or deeper troughing this close to the date. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 13?
17°C 30%
16°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
22%
17°C
32%
18°C
14%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 30%
16°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
10°C or below
$815 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
1%
12°C
$15 交易量
1%
13°C
$10 交易量
1%
14°C
$10 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
22%
17°C
$16 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
14%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C or higher
$1 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Cape Town on June 13, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. A series of weak cold fronts tracking across the Western Cape in early June has maintained typical winter maritime conditions, with cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover preventing significant warming or sharp drops. The ocean's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly flow further stabilize daytime highs near the long-term June average of 16–17°C, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Minor model spread on front timing and cloud thickness explains the tight distribution across 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C probabilities, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of anomalous ridging or deeper troughing this close to the date. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$823結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Cape Town on June 13, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. A series of weak cold fronts tracking across the Western Cape in early June has maintained typical winter maritime conditions, with cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover preventing significant warming or sharp drops. The ocean's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly flow further stabilize daytime highs near the long-term June average of 16–17°C, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Minor model spread on front timing and cloud thickness explains the tight distribution across 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C probabilities, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of anomalous ridging or deeper troughing this close to the date. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$823結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETCurrent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Cape Town on June 13, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. A series of weak cold fronts tracking across the Western Cape in early June has maintained typical winter maritime conditions, with cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover preventing significant warming or sharp drops. The ocean's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly flow further stabilize daytime highs near the long-term June average of 16–17°C, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Minor model spread on front timing and cloud thickness explains the tight distribution across 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C probabilities, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of anomalous ridging or deeper troughing this close to the date. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions