India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s June 11 maximum will reach only 37°C under increasing cloud cover and isolated thundershowers with 40–50 km/h gusts, as pre-monsoon moisture influx and convective mixing reduce solar heating after consecutive days above 40°C. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing suppressed daytime temperatures from enhanced atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 36°C outcome because official observations and short-range guidance consistently center there. Stronger or earlier rainfall, or unexpected clearing that allows greater insolation, remain the main realistic paths to a higher reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
36°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,207 交易量
$93,207 交易量
33°C或以下
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或以上
否
36°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,207 交易量
$93,207 交易量
33°C或以下
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s June 11 maximum will reach only 37°C under increasing cloud cover and isolated thundershowers with 40–50 km/h gusts, as pre-monsoon moisture influx and convective mixing reduce solar heating after consecutive days above 40°C. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing suppressed daytime temperatures from enhanced atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 36°C outcome because official observations and short-range guidance consistently center there. Stronger or earlier rainfall, or unexpected clearing that allows greater insolation, remain the main realistic paths to a higher reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions