Current forecasts from official meteorological agencies point to a sunny day with light southwest breezes across Beijing, supporting a daily maximum near 32°C under early-June insolation patterns. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, as subtle variations in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official observing station can readily shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement, with climatological baselines for the period typically featuring highs of 29–33°C amid strengthening seasonal warming; the narrow spread in trader-implied odds reflects these measurable uncertainties rather than broader atmospheric divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
31°C 40%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 10%
最新
$41,328 交易量
最新
$41,328 交易量
2026-06-11
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 10%
最新
$41,328 交易量
最新
$41,328 交易量
2026-06-11
27°C or below
$8,074 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,925 交易量
1%
29°C
$4,776 交易量
2%
30°C
$4,857 交易量
11%
31°C
$2,799 交易量
40%
32°C
$2,534 交易量
33%
33°C
$3,652 交易量
10%
34°C
$3,558 交易量
2%
35°C
$1,984 交易量
<1%
36°C
$4,848 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official meteorological agencies point to a sunny day with light southwest breezes across Beijing, supporting a daily maximum near 32°C under early-June insolation patterns. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, as subtle variations in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official observing station can readily shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement, with climatological baselines for the period typically featuring highs of 29–33°C amid strengthening seasonal warming; the narrow spread in trader-implied odds reflects these measurable uncertainties rather than broader atmospheric divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$41,328結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official meteorological agencies point to a sunny day with light southwest breezes across Beijing, supporting a daily maximum near 32°C under early-June insolation patterns. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, as subtle variations in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official observing station can readily shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement, with climatological baselines for the period typically featuring highs of 29–33°C amid strengthening seasonal warming; the narrow spread in trader-implied odds reflects these measurable uncertainties rather than broader atmospheric divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,328結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETCurrent forecasts from official meteorological agencies point to a sunny day with light southwest breezes across Beijing, supporting a daily maximum near 32°C under early-June insolation patterns. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, as subtle variations in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or localized urban heat-island effects at the official observing station can readily shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement, with climatological baselines for the period typically featuring highs of 29–33°C amid strengthening seasonal warming; the narrow spread in trader-implied odds reflects these measurable uncertainties rather than broader atmospheric divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions