Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
6月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 20%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
36%
17°C
28%
18°C
10%
19°C或以上
8%
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 20%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
9°C或以下
$106 交易量
<1%
10°C
$106 交易量
<1%
11°C
$101 交易量
<1%
12°C
$151 交易量
1%
13°C
$21 交易量
2%
14°C
$121 交易量
5%
15°C
$69 交易量
20%
16°C
$24 交易量
36%
17°C
$23 交易量
28%
18°C
$129 交易量
10%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$848結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$848結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions