Recent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯6月12日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯6月12日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
69°F或以下
$52 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$20 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$50 交易量
24%
74-75°F
$188 交易量
40%
76-77°F
$50 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$39 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$40 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$50 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$141 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$481 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$50 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
交易量
$1,155結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,155結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions