A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
6月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
21°C 36%
20°C 31%
22°C 17%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
31%
21°C
36%
22°C
17%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 36%
20°C 31%
22°C 17%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
$65 交易量
<1%
17°C
$272 交易量
1%
18°C
$91 交易量
2%
19°C
$54 交易量
10%
20°C
$165 交易量
31%
21°C
$190 交易量
36%
22°C
$107 交易量
17%
23°C
$166 交易量
6%
24°C
$365 交易量
1%
25°C
$182 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$59 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,693結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,693結束日期
2026-06-12市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETA cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions