Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warming pattern across the San Francisco Bay Area for June 12, with reduced marine-layer influence and lighter onshore flow allowing daytime highs to reach the mid- to upper 70s at the official recording station. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–79 °F outcomes, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology favors highs near 67 °F, so any offshore component or clearer skies would push readings several degrees above average while still remaining well below record territory. Updated model runs and the NWS afternoon forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 12?
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 12%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 12%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 9:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warming pattern across the San Francisco Bay Area for June 12, with reduced marine-layer influence and lighter onshore flow allowing daytime highs to reach the mid- to upper 70s at the official recording station. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–79 °F outcomes, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology favors highs near 67 °F, so any offshore component or clearer skies would push readings several degrees above average while still remaining well below record territory. Updated model runs and the NWS afternoon forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions