Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Mexico City highs on June 12 will likely cluster near the June climatological average of 24°C, with outcomes centered on 23–25°C reflecting minor differences in cloud cover, wind patterns, and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation, the highland location moderates peak temperatures despite early summer insolation, while the onset of the rainy season promotes afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus in the tightly bunched 23–25°C range captures this narrow uncertainty band, as slight shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence could tip the daily peak by 1°C either way before official observations finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 12?
24°C 33%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C or higher 13.6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
33%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
14%
24°C 33%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C or higher 13.6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
33%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Mexico City highs on June 12 will likely cluster near the June climatological average of 24°C, with outcomes centered on 23–25°C reflecting minor differences in cloud cover, wind patterns, and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation, the highland location moderates peak temperatures despite early summer insolation, while the onset of the rainy season promotes afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus in the tightly bunched 23–25°C range captures this narrow uncertainty band, as slight shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence could tip the daily peak by 1°C either way before official observations finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions