Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, under typical early-summer conditions with partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with historical June baselines of 16–18°C before the Jangma monsoon season intensifies later in the month, producing strong trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Key variables that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid shifts in cloud cover, localized wind changes, or updated model runs that revise the minimum by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence around this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日首爾最低溫度?
16°C 97.6%
15°C 1.7%
14°C <1%
11°C或以下 <1%
$32,788 交易量
$32,788 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 97.6%
15°C 1.7%
14°C <1%
11°C或以下 <1%
$32,788 交易量
$32,788 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, under typical early-summer conditions with partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with historical June baselines of 16–18°C before the Jangma monsoon season intensifies later in the month, producing strong trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Key variables that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid shifts in cloud cover, localized wind changes, or updated model runs that revise the minimum by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence around this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions