Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions