Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日青島氣溫最高?
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,431 交易量
$35,431 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,431 交易量
$35,431 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure building over the Yellow Sea, driving Qingdao’s maximum temperature to 31°C on June 12. This aligns with observed hourly trends reaching that peak under partly clear conditions and represents a modest positive anomaly relative to typical June climatology of 24–28°C at official stations. Sea-breeze circulation and variable marine-layer moisture remain the main sources of uncertainty that could cap readings near 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on the model consensus, with new observational data and updated runs from monitoring agencies serving as the next potential catalysts for any shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions