Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 26–27 °C in Qingdao on June 15, driven by southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea that delivers marine air with dew points in the upper teens and 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16 °C. This coastal moderation typically caps June highs near the 23–24 °C climatological average, yet current partly cloudy conditions and lighter sea breezes allow brief afternoon warming toward 27 °C without triggering stronger onshore cooling. Trader consensus clusters on the 26–28 °C brackets because overnight lows near 20 °C and increasing insolation make sub-26 °C peaks unlikely, while the absence of continental heat advection keeps 29 °C or higher remote. Updated forecast runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 15%
25°C 8.9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
15%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 15%
25°C 8.9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
15%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 26–27 °C in Qingdao on June 15, driven by southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea that delivers marine air with dew points in the upper teens and 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16 °C. This coastal moderation typically caps June highs near the 23–24 °C climatological average, yet current partly cloudy conditions and lighter sea breezes allow brief afternoon warming toward 27 °C without triggering stronger onshore cooling. Trader consensus clusters on the 26–28 °C brackets because overnight lows near 20 °C and increasing insolation make sub-26 °C peaks unlikely, while the absence of continental heat advection keeps 29 °C or higher remote. Updated forecast runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions