Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daily maximum near 90°F today under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bracket at 53.5% implied probability. June climatology features typical highs of 88-89°F driven by the Bermuda High, sea-breeze convection, and moderate moisture; light steering winds and limited early cloud cover have supported brief surface heating consistent with the 32.5% odds on 92-93°F. Recent model runs and the prior day's 91°F observation reinforce trader consensus around these ranges, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical deviation envelope and expected convective cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 54%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 15%
94-95°F 2.9%
$17,005 交易量
$17,005 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
54%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
90-91°F 54%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 15%
94-95°F 2.9%
$17,005 交易量
$17,005 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
54%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daily maximum near 90°F today under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bracket at 53.5% implied probability. June climatology features typical highs of 88-89°F driven by the Bermuda High, sea-breeze convection, and moderate moisture; light steering winds and limited early cloud cover have supported brief surface heating consistent with the 32.5% odds on 92-93°F. Recent model runs and the prior day's 91°F observation reinforce trader consensus around these ranges, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical deviation envelope and expected convective cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions