**Trader sentiment for London's June 15 minimum temperature centers on a tight contest between 12°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus around 14–15°C from Met Office and BBC guidance but with notable ensemble spread in overnight cooling.** Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds promote radiational cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop more than under stronger mixing or cloud cover. Recent high-pressure influence and near-normal June conditions support this range, while any increase in low-level moisture or southeasterly flow could limit the drop. The 11°C outcome captures downside risk from stronger radiative losses in drier air masses, whereas 14°C accounts for slightly warmer advection or residual cloud. Ensemble forecasts show the 1°C spread between leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer decoupling overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
6月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 9%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
9%
12°C
42%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 9%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
8°C or below
$109 交易量
1%
9°C
$37 交易量
1%
10°C
$53 交易量
1%
11°C
$113 交易量
9%
12°C
$119 交易量
42%
13°C
$194 交易量
39%
14°C
$174 交易量
5%
15°C
$238 交易量
<1%
16°C
$148 交易量
<1%
17°C
$147 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's June 15 minimum temperature centers on a tight contest between 12°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus around 14–15°C from Met Office and BBC guidance but with notable ensemble spread in overnight cooling.** Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds promote radiational cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop more than under stronger mixing or cloud cover. Recent high-pressure influence and near-normal June conditions support this range, while any increase in low-level moisture or southeasterly flow could limit the drop. The 11°C outcome captures downside risk from stronger radiative losses in drier air masses, whereas 14°C accounts for slightly warmer advection or residual cloud. Ensemble forecasts show the 1°C spread between leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer decoupling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$1,485結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's June 15 minimum temperature centers on a tight contest between 12°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus around 14–15°C from Met Office and BBC guidance but with notable ensemble spread in overnight cooling.** Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds promote radiational cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop more than under stronger mixing or cloud cover. Recent high-pressure influence and near-normal June conditions support this range, while any increase in low-level moisture or southeasterly flow could limit the drop. The 11°C outcome captures downside risk from stronger radiative losses in drier air masses, whereas 14°C accounts for slightly warmer advection or residual cloud. Ensemble forecasts show the 1°C spread between leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer decoupling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,485結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET**Trader sentiment for London's June 15 minimum temperature centers on a tight contest between 12°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus around 14–15°C from Met Office and BBC guidance but with notable ensemble spread in overnight cooling.** Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds promote radiational cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop more than under stronger mixing or cloud cover. Recent high-pressure influence and near-normal June conditions support this range, while any increase in low-level moisture or southeasterly flow could limit the drop. The 11°C outcome captures downside risk from stronger radiative losses in drier air masses, whereas 14°C accounts for slightly warmer advection or residual cloud. Ensemble forecasts show the 1°C spread between leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer decoupling overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions