Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on June 15 will likely settle near 18–19°C under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, with the market's tight clustering between these two outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer moisture. Higher humidity and any late-evening cloud cover could limit temperature drop below 18°C, while clearer conditions or a slightly drier airmass might allow brief dips toward 17°C. Historical early-June climatology places typical minima around 19°C, and traders appear to weight official guidance heavily ahead of the morning observation window used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日首爾最低溫度?
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on June 15 will likely settle near 18–19°C under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, with the market's tight clustering between these two outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer moisture. Higher humidity and any late-evening cloud cover could limit temperature drop below 18°C, while clearer conditions or a slightly drier airmass might allow brief dips toward 17°C. Historical early-June climatology places typical minima around 19°C, and traders appear to weight official guidance heavily ahead of the morning observation window used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions