Persistent cloud cover and a light southerly flow ahead of East Asian monsoon influences have limited overnight radiational cooling across Seoul, positioning the daily minimum near 19–21°C according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance. This synoptic setup, with mostly cloudy skies and elevated humidity, supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C (43.5 %), 20°C (32.0 %), and 19°C (28.0 %). Mid-June climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, so the current warmer signal reflects both the forecast evolution and reduced diurnal temperature range. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends over historical averages, with resolution hinging on the official morning minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日首爾最低溫度?
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 2.0%
16°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 2.0%
16°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and a light southerly flow ahead of East Asian monsoon influences have limited overnight radiational cooling across Seoul, positioning the daily minimum near 19–21°C according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance. This synoptic setup, with mostly cloudy skies and elevated humidity, supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C (43.5 %), 20°C (32.0 %), and 19°C (28.0 %). Mid-June climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, so the current warmer signal reflects both the forecast evolution and reduced diurnal temperature range. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends over historical averages, with resolution hinging on the official morning minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions