Traders see the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 reflecting lingering model uncertainty around peak daytime heating amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum near 28°C under overcast skies and southwesterly flow, with heavy rain expected to limit solar insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but current conditions align with a suppressed thermal profile driven by monsoon moisture and limited diurnal range. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing of any breaks in cloud or convective activity during peak afternoon hours, with updated short-range model runs likely to clarify whether the daily maximum edges into the upper 20s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 39%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 11.0%
最新
$17,987 交易量
最新
$17,987 交易量
2026-06-15
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
39%
30°C
32%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 39%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 11.0%
最新
$17,987 交易量
最新
$17,987 交易量
2026-06-15
22°C or below
$372 交易量
<1%
23°C
$735 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,251 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,636 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,016 交易量
<1%
27°C
$4,720 交易量
<1%
28°C
$951 交易量
16%
29°C
$721 交易量
39%
30°C
$1,043 交易量
32%
31°C
$1,707 交易量
11%
32°C or higher
$1,202 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 reflecting lingering model uncertainty around peak daytime heating amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum near 28°C under overcast skies and southwesterly flow, with heavy rain expected to limit solar insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but current conditions align with a suppressed thermal profile driven by monsoon moisture and limited diurnal range. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing of any breaks in cloud or convective activity during peak afternoon hours, with updated short-range model runs likely to clarify whether the daily maximum edges into the upper 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$17,987結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 reflecting lingering model uncertainty around peak daytime heating amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum near 28°C under overcast skies and southwesterly flow, with heavy rain expected to limit solar insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but current conditions align with a suppressed thermal profile driven by monsoon moisture and limited diurnal range. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing of any breaks in cloud or convective activity during peak afternoon hours, with updated short-range model runs likely to clarify whether the daily maximum edges into the upper 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,987結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTraders see the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 reflecting lingering model uncertainty around peak daytime heating amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum near 28°C under overcast skies and southwesterly flow, with heavy rain expected to limit solar insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but current conditions align with a suppressed thermal profile driven by monsoon moisture and limited diurnal range. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing of any breaks in cloud or convective activity during peak afternoon hours, with updated short-range model runs likely to clarify whether the daily maximum edges into the upper 20s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions