Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and substantial rainfall on June 16, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving market-implied odds toward 28°C or 29°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limits daytime heating, while evaporative cooling from precipitation and moist southerly flow further moderates peaks below seasonal norms near 31°C. Minor model divergences in exact rainfall timing, wind speed, or brief clearing windows differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could shift sentiment if drier conditions emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
$38 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13 交易量
<1%
25°C
$96 交易量
1%
26°C
$3 交易量
6%
27°C
$73 交易量
14%
28°C
$65 交易量
30%
29°C
$3 交易量
30%
30°C
$25 交易量
15%
31°C
$8 交易量
7%
32°C
$19 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and substantial rainfall on June 16, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving market-implied odds toward 28°C or 29°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limits daytime heating, while evaporative cooling from precipitation and moist southerly flow further moderates peaks below seasonal norms near 31°C. Minor model divergences in exact rainfall timing, wind speed, or brief clearing windows differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could shift sentiment if drier conditions emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$429結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and substantial rainfall on June 16, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving market-implied odds toward 28°C or 29°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limits daytime heating, while evaporative cooling from precipitation and moist southerly flow further moderates peaks below seasonal norms near 31°C. Minor model divergences in exact rainfall timing, wind speed, or brief clearing windows differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could shift sentiment if drier conditions emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$429結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and substantial rainfall on June 16, suppressing maximum temperatures and driving market-implied odds toward 28°C or 29°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limits daytime heating, while evaporative cooling from precipitation and moist southerly flow further moderates peaks below seasonal norms near 31°C. Minor model divergences in exact rainfall timing, wind speed, or brief clearing windows differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could shift sentiment if drier conditions emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions