Recent short-term forecasts position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum, with model consensus clustering between 24–27°C under early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions. Moderate diurnal heating, light easterly monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and possible thundery showers are expected to limit peak temperatures near the seasonal average of 27–28°C. These atmospheric factors explain why markets assign roughly 43% implied probability to 25°C and 29% to 24°C, while outcomes above 27°C remain below 5% each. Updated guidance from global and regional models continues to support this narrow range, though final readings could shift with changes in cloud timing or localized rainfall.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 46%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 5.0%
最新
$47,462 交易量
最新
$47,462 交易量
2026-06-15
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
30%
25°C
46%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 5.0%
最新
$47,462 交易量
最新
$47,462 交易量
2026-06-15
21°C or below
$552 交易量
<1%
22°C
$19,168 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,538 交易量
5%
24°C
$4,815 交易量
30%
25°C
$2,789 交易量
46%
26°C
$2,307 交易量
21%
27°C
$3,331 交易量
3%
28°C
$3,546 交易量
1%
29°C
$3,177 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,458 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,607 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum, with model consensus clustering between 24–27°C under early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions. Moderate diurnal heating, light easterly monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and possible thundery showers are expected to limit peak temperatures near the seasonal average of 27–28°C. These atmospheric factors explain why markets assign roughly 43% implied probability to 25°C and 29% to 24°C, while outcomes above 27°C remain below 5% each. Updated guidance from global and regional models continues to support this narrow range, though final readings could shift with changes in cloud timing or localized rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$47,462結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum, with model consensus clustering between 24–27°C under early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions. Moderate diurnal heating, light easterly monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and possible thundery showers are expected to limit peak temperatures near the seasonal average of 27–28°C. These atmospheric factors explain why markets assign roughly 43% implied probability to 25°C and 29% to 24°C, while outcomes above 27°C remain below 5% each. Updated guidance from global and regional models continues to support this narrow range, though final readings could shift with changes in cloud timing or localized rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,462結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum, with model consensus clustering between 24–27°C under early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions. Moderate diurnal heating, light easterly monsoon flow, variable cloud cover, and possible thundery showers are expected to limit peak temperatures near the seasonal average of 27–28°C. These atmospheric factors explain why markets assign roughly 43% implied probability to 25°C and 29% to 24°C, while outcomes above 27°C remain below 5% each. Updated guidance from global and regional models continues to support this narrow range, though final readings could shift with changes in cloud timing or localized rainfall.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions